Progrès technique, croissance et emploi : Un modèle d'inspiration kaldorienne pour six industries européennes
[fre] A moyen terme, les évolutions de la productivité industrielle dépendent non seulement de la croissance de la demande (loi dite de Kaldor-Verdoorn) mais aussi des rythmes d'accumulation et d'innovations techniques.. On estime, sur la période 1960-1976, dans six pays européens (RFA, France, Italie, Pays-Bas, Belgique, Royaume-Uni), un modèle à cinq équations montrant l'importance relative de ces différents déterminants. [eng] Technical progress, growth and employment ; . A Kaldorian model for six european industries. R. Boyer, P. Petit. At medium term industrial productivity is not only a function of demand (following the so-called Kaldor-Verdoorn law) but also of investment and technical change.. Pooling datas on four cycles 1960-1965, 1965-1969, 1969-1973, 1973-1976 for six countries (RFA, France, Italy, Netherlands, Belgium, United Kingdom), a five equations model is estimated, exhibiting the relative influence of these various factors.. The consequences of different industrial policies (expanding demand or stimulating supply), in order to stop the de-industrialisation process, are then derived from simulations run with the model.
Year of publication: |
1981
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Authors: | Boyer, Robert ; Petit, Pascal |
Published in: |
Revue Économique. - Programme National Persée, ISSN 0035-2764. - Vol. 32.1981, 6, p. 1113-1153
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Publisher: |
Programme National Persée |
Saved in:
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