Relationship between Spot and Futures Prices : Case of Indian Stock Market

In developed financial markets, there is no dearth of literature on relationship between spot and future market. India, in the year 2000 introduced derivative market to provide risk mitigation mechanism to market participants. The present study concluded that there is no short-run relationship between Nifty 50 Index and Nifty 50 Futures Index while there is a long-run relationship between the two. The combined analysis of outputs of Granger Causality and Johansen co-integration provided a more rational justification and can be interpreted that possibly at a time of high volatile market when price discovery is not more on rational basis but rather on other spill-over, a short-run lead-lag relationship could not be observed between spot stock index and futures index. However, in long-run the volatility dies away and market returns back to fundamental factors and hence, there is evidence of long-run relationship between spot stock index and futures index