Resolution of Financial Market Uncertainty Around the Release of Unemployment Rate Announcements
We provide evidence that the release of the unemployment rate announcement unconditionally leads to financial market uncertainty resolution in the stock, treasury, commodity, and foreign currency markets. The finding is economically valuable. A simple daily strategy of selling the 10-year Treasury Note Volatility Index futures before the unemployment rate announcement and closing the position after the announcement generates an annualized Sharpe ratio of 3.79, while a similar intraday strategy using VIX futures generates an annualized Sharpe ratio of 3.98. Although this resolution is not conditional of the value of the unemployment rate surprise, we also find that larger (lower) than expected unemployment can weaken (strengthen) the uncertainty resolution process
Year of publication: |
[2022]
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Authors: | Gu, Chen ; Chen, Denghui ; Stan, Raluca |
Publisher: |
[S.l.] : SSRN |
Subject: | Ankündigungseffekt | Announcement effect | Arbeitslosigkeit | Unemployment | Finanzmarkt | Financial market | Börsenkurs | Share price |
Saved in:
freely available
Extent: | 1 Online-Ressource (30 p) |
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Series: | |
Type of publication: | Book / Working Paper |
Language: | English |
Notes: | Nach Informationen von SSRN wurde die ursprüngliche Fassung des Dokuments January 6, 2022 erstellt |
Other identifiers: | 10.2139/ssrn.4060445 [DOI] |
Source: | ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW |
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292324
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