Scenarios for sustainable peace in colombia by year 2019

This paper presents the simulation results of the model of cyclical terrorist murder for Colombia (Gómez-Sorzano, 2005) on the purpose of doing sensitivity analysis to help the country in the design of a policy bringing sustainable peace before year 2019. The first part presents 11 scenarios 2005-2010. The final section shows 18 additional scenarios 2006-2019. According to them peace will be attained around year 2008 and sustainable peace will be granted before year 2019.

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Year of publication:	2006-09-22
Authors:	Gomez-Sorzano, Gustavo
Institutions:	Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
Subject:	cyclical terrorist murder \| democratic security policy \| sustainable peace

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Extent:	application/pdf
Series:	MPRA Paper.
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Classification:	C53 - Forecasting and Other Model Applications ; C22 - Time-Series Models
Source:	RePEc - Research Papers in Economics

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789677