Simulation and analysis of congestion risk during escalator transfers using a modified social force model

The congestion risk during escalator transfers was simulated based on a modified social force model. A four-stage transfer model was proposed. A projection strategy was employed to calculate the social forces for inclined surfaces, and a schedule-line model was proposed to calculate the targets adaptively. Realistic simulations of escalator transfer activities were achieved. The results demonstrate that the spatial distribution of the congestion risks is inhomogeneous. A few areas contain clearly higher risks, and the congestion risk is higher in the transfer aisles than on the escalators. The congestion risk in the transfer aisle is influenced more by the average pedestrian speed than that of the escalators. Slower walkers in the transfer aisle may cause congestion, which is more serious when the escalator speed is faster than that of the pedestrians. Therefore, to reduce the congestion risk, the speed of the escalator should be set slower than the average speed of the pedestrians, and conductors can be employed to divert the traffic at the entrance, turns, and exit of the escalator.