Stochastic Demand for Hospitals and Optimizing "Excess" Bed Capacity.

This paper addresses the issue of hospital bed capacity by considering the stochastic demand for United States hospitals. An equilibrium condition for the optimal number of "excess" beds is derived and applied using a cost function estimated with a panel data model for the period 1987-1992. Results indicate that it may be difficult to justify the costliness of existing levels of empty hospital beds. The Department of Justice and the Federal Trade commission should be cognizant of the potential effects of hospital mergers on undesirable excess bed capacity. Copyright 1998 by Kluwer Academic Publishers