Survey Data and Short-Term Forecasts of Swedish GDP Growth

In this paper, the author evaluates forecasting models for Swedish GDP growth which make use of data from Sweden´s most important business survey, the Economic Tendency Survey. <p> Employing nine years of quarterly real-time data, an out-of-sample forecast exercise is conducted. Results indicate that the survey data have informational value that can be used to improve forecasts, thereby confirming the empirical relevance of survey data for GDP forecasters.

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Year of publication:	2013-09-13
Authors:	Österholm, Pär
Institutions:	Konjunkturinstitutet, Government of Sweden
Subject:	Out-of-sample forecasts \| Real-time data

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Extent:	application/pdf
Series:	Working Paper.
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Notes:	The text is part of a series Working Paper Number 130 15 pages
Classification:	E22 - Capital; Investment (including Inventories); Capacity ; E27 - Forecasting and Simulation
Source:	RePEc - Research Papers in Economics

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011019149