Sustainable Development of Tourism in Romania and its Transmission Mechanism in GDP

This article aims to analyze the sustainable development of tourism in Romania, given its cyclical movements generated by using seasonal resources. For this we used output gap indicator, defined as the difference between real GDP and potential GDP. Output gap indicates disparity in the real economy. Other words, we wanted to answer the question: How large reserve capacity of the economy is tourism? How close is an economy to function at its potential productive? In our case the output gap is the difference between the real level of domestic production and the estimated tourism potential. Identify the transmission mechanism of cyclical components of GDP for Romanian tourism was analyzed using VAR econometric model. We pursued by this paper to analyze the reality of the Romanian tourism potential related to both the type of contribution to GDP.