The econometric analysis of recurrent events in macroeconomics and finance

Overview -- Methods for describing oscillations, fluctuations, and cycles in univariate series -- Constructing reference cycles with multivariate information -- Model-based rules for describing recurrent events -- Measuring recurrent event features in univariate data -- Measuring synchronization of recurrent events in multivariate data -- Accounting for observed cycle features with a range of statistical models -- Using the recurrent event binary states to examine economic modeling issues -- Predicting turning points and recessions