The effects of age structure on economic growth : an application of probabilistic forecasting to India

Alexia Prskawetz, Tomas Kögel, Warren C. Sanderson, and Sergei Scherbov

During recent years there has been an increasing awareness of the explanatory power of demographic variables in economic growth regressions. We estimate a new model of the effects of age structure change on economic growth. We use the new model and recent probabilistic demographic projections for India to derive the uncertainty of predicted economic growth rates caused by the uncertainty in demographic developments.

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Year of publication:	2004
Authors:	Fürnkranz-Prskawetz, Alexia ; Kögel, Tomas ; Sanderson, Warren C. ; Scherbov, Sergei
Publisher:	Vienna : Vienna Inst. of Demography
Subject:	Economic growth \| age structure \| probabilistic demographic projections \| India \| Indien \| Wirtschaftswachstum \| Bevölkerungsentwicklung \| Demographic development \| Prognoseverfahren \| Forecasting model \| Altersstruktur \| Age structure \| Bevölkerungsprognose \| Population forecasting \| Bevölkerungsstruktur \| Demographic structure \| Alternde Bevölkerung \| Aging population \| Prognose \| Forecast

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Extent:	Online-Ressource (28 S.) graph. Darst.
Series:	Working papers / Vienna Institute for Demography. - Wien, ZDB-ID 2232671-6. - Vol. 03/2004
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Type of publication (narrower categories):	Arbeitspapier ; Working Paper ; Graue Literatur ; Non-commercial literature
Language:	English
Notes:	Systemvoraussetzungen: Acrobat Reader
Other identifiers:	hdl:10419/106645 [Handle]
Source:	ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW

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