The Impact of Exchange Rate on Nigeria Non-Oil Exports

The study examines the impact of exchange rate on non-oil export. We used time series data obtained from CBN for a period of 27 years that is 1986 to 2013. Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test was used for the unit root test and Johansen’s co-integration test was also conducted to establish short and long run relationships between non-oil exports and independent variables. The result shows three co-integrating equations which establish the existence of long run relationship among the variables. Ordinary Least Square statistical technique was used to assess the determinants of non-oil export in Nigeria. The results show that effective exchange rate, money supply, credit to the private sector and economic performance have a significant impact on the growth of non-oil export in the Nigerian economy and appreciation of exchange rate has negative effect on non-oil export which is consistent with the economic theory. Following this, the study recommended among others that monetary authority should ensure exchange rate stability in order to stem inflationary tendencies in Nigeria which have adverse effect on the growth of non-oil export.