The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on Exports in Turkey

This paper empirically investigates the impact of exchange rate volatility, export prices and weighed GDP of most of the trading partners of Turkey on aggregate exports for the period from 2003:2 to 2010:12. The primary focus is the impact of exchange rate volatility on exports from Turkey. To achieve this purpose, various approaches were employed previously. In line with the previous studies, the OLS regression method was employed. Appropriate tests to ensure the reliability of the analysis were under- taken. Time-series data were used for the analysis. Cross-correlation to determine the relationship between the pairs of variables was utilized. Our results indicated that there was a negative relationship between exports and volatility; however, this relationship was not significant at a level of 5%. Even though there were many studies exploring the impact of the volatility of the exchange rate on exports, there was no consensus for the validation of the results among these various studies. This topic was chosen since there were few studies about Turkey's case, while in contrast, there have been innumerable studies made outside of Turkey