The Impact of the Russian Invasion in Ukraine and Its Impact on the World Oil Price Behavior

This research will present different simulations to observe the final impact of a armed conflicts between the Russia and Ukraine and its impact on the world oil prices behavior. The main objective of this paper is to evaluate different levels of armed conflicts intensity and oil prices behavior from a multidimensional perspective. This simulator evaluates different scenarios of armed conflicts and oil market prices behavior through the construction of a complex algorithm and multidimensional coordinate spaces (Ruiz Estrada, 2017). This new simulator is entitled "The Armed Conflicts Impact on Oil Crisis Simulator (TACIOC-Simulator)". The objective of the TACIOC-Simulator is to offer policy-makers and researchers a new analytical tool to study the impact of armed conflicts on oil prices. The TACIOC-Simulator, in effect, is a simple and applicable scheme. Finally, this research shows the results obtained in the application of TACIOC-Simulator in different armed conflicts scenarios between the Russia and Ukraine. The period of study is from 1982 to 2022 and the reason to select this short period is to observe the constant armed tensions that always exist between the Russia and Ukraine respectively