The interdependences of central bank’s forecasts and inflation expectations of consumers

This paper focuses on the relationship between inflation forecast and inflation expectations of households measured on the basis of conducted surveys. Two hypotheses are presented. The first one assumes that there are interdependences between the inflation forecast results and consumers inflation expectations. The second hypothesis implies that the existence of the interdependences between the inflation forecasts and inflation expectations depends neither on detailed solutions in the field of forecasting inflation applied by central banks nor on their attitude towards inflation forecast targeting implementation. The research covers 4 central banks: of the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Romania.