The limited usefulness of macroeconomic Bayesian VARs when estimating the probability of a US recession
Year of publication: |
2012
|
---|---|
Authors: | Österholm, Pär |
Published in: |
Journal of macroeconomics. - Amsterdam [u.a.] : Elsevier, ISSN 0164-0704, ZDB-ID 796245-9. - Vol. 34.2012, 1, p. 76-86
|
Subject: | Predictive density | Fan chart | Leading indicator | Survey data | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | Wirtschaftsindikator | Economic indicator | Frühindikator | USA | United States | VAR-Modell | VAR model | Bayes-Statistik | Bayesian inference | Konjunktur | Business cycle | Schätztheorie | Estimation theory | Statistische Verteilung | Statistical distribution |
-
A comparison of different short-term macroeconomic forecasting models : evidence from Armenia
Poghosyan, Karen, (2016)
-
Forecast combination for US recessions with real-time data
Pauwels, Laurent, (2014)
-
Bekiros, Stelios, (2015)
- More ...
-
Testing for Cointegration Using the Johansen Methodology When Variables Are Near-Integrated
Österholm, Pär, (2007)
-
Does Money Matter for U.S. Inflation? : Evidence from Bayesian VARs
Österholm, Pär, (2008)
-
External Linkages and Economic Growth in Colombia : Insights from a Bayesian VAR Model
Österholm, Pär, (2008)
- More ...