The Pivotal Voter Model: Evidence from Texas Liquor Referenda

We use data from Texas liquor referenda to evaluate the performance of the pivotal-voter theory of voter turnout. We structurally estimate the parameters of a pivotal-voter model using the referendum data. We then use the estimates to evaluate the out of sample performance of the model. Finally, we compare the performance of the model with alternative voting models based on the group rule-utilitarian theory of turnout and on the "intensity hypothesis".

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Year of publication:	2004-08-11
Authors:	Moro, Andrea ; Coate, Stephen ; Conlin, Michael
Institutions:	Econometric Society
Subject:	Pivotal Voter model \| Political Economy

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Series:	Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings.
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Notes:	The text is part of a series Econometric Society North American Summer Meetings 2004 Number 440
Classification:	D72 - Economic Models of Political Processes: Rent-Seeking, Elections, Legistures, and Voting Behavior ; H10 - Structure and Scope of Government. General
Source:	RePEc - Research Papers in Economics

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702685