THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN TOURISM AND TRADE IN SOUTH AFRICA
This article explores the relationship between tourist arrivals and trade in South Africa. Two analyses were conducted - a panel data analysis, which included tourism and trade data of 40 countries with South Africa, and a time-series analysis that involved South Africa's main tourism and trade partners. Cointegration tests, Granger causality and Block exogeneity tests were used to investigate the nature of the relationship. The results of the panel data analysis show that for South Africa as a whole, there is indeed a long-term relationship between tourist arrivals and trade, and that bidirectional causality exists. The results for the country case studies are mixed, although the evidence is stronger for the hypothesis that tourism causes trade. Copyright (c) 2010 The Authors. Journal compilation (c) 2010 Economic Society of South Africa.
Year of publication: |
2010
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Authors: | Fry, Denise ; Saayman, Andrea ; Saayman, Melville |
Published in: |
South African Journal of Economics. - Economic Society of South Africa - ESSA, ISSN 0038-2280. - Vol. 78.2010, 3, p. 287-306
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Publisher: |
Economic Society of South Africa - ESSA |
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