The Shape of the Risk Premium: Evidence from a Semiparametric GARCH Model
We examine the relationship between the risk premium on the S&P500 index total return and its conditional variance. We propose a new semiparametric model in which the conditional variance process is parametric, while the conditional mean is an arbitrary function of the conditional variance. For monthly S&P 500 excess returns, the relationship between the two moments that we uncover is nonlinear and nonmonotonic. Moreover, we find considerable persistence in the conditional variance as well as a leverage effect as documented by others.
Year of publication: |
2004-09
|
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Authors: | Perron, Benoit ; Linton, Oliver |
Institutions: | Financial Markets Group |
Saved in:
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