Trade Equations for the Brazilian Economy : 1955/1995

This paper estimates export and import equations for Brazil using annual data from 1955 to 1995. The econometric procedures account for the nonstationarity of the data, applying cointegration techniques and using an error-correction model framework. The validity of treating conditioning variables as "exogenous" is investigated through proper exogeneity tests. The paper also presents forecasts of export and import growth rates for the period 1996/2000, under alternative scenarios

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Year of publication:	1998
Authors:	Castro, Alexandre Samy de ; Cavalcanti, Marco A. F. H.
Publisher:	[S.l.] : SSRN
Subject:	Brasilien \| Brazil \| Außenhandel \| Foreign trade

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Extent:	1 Online-Ressource (46 p)
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Language:	English
Notes:	Nach Informationen von SSRN wurde die ursprüngliche Fassung des Dokuments March 1997 erstellt
Other identifiers:	10.2139/ssrn.49209 [DOI]
Classification:	C32 - Time-Series Models ; C51 - Model Construction and Estimation ; C52 - Model Evaluation and Testing ; C53 - Forecasting and Other Model Applications ; F17 - Trade Forecasting and Simulation ; F47 - Forecasting and Simulation
Source:	ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014073682