Trimmed opinion pools and the crowd's calibration problem
Year of publication: |
2014
|
---|---|
Authors: | Jose, Victor Richmond R. ; Grushka-Cockayne, Yael ; Lichtendahl, Kenneth C. |
Published in: |
Management science : journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences. - Catonsville, MD : INFORMS, ISSN 0025-1909, ZDB-ID 206345-1. - Vol. 60.2014, 2, p. 463-475
|
Subject: | trimming | probability forecasts | expert combination | linear opinion pool | underconfidence | overconfidence | scoring rules | wisdom of crowds | Theorie | Theory | Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung | Probability theory | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model |
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