Varying youth cohort effects on regional labour market outcomes in Germany

Thomas de Graaff, Ceren Ozgen, Duncan Roth

We assess how changes in youth cohort sizes effect employment rates in German labour market regions. Replicating the conventional approach, we estimate that a percentage increase in the youth share reduces regional employment rates by -0.2%. We challenge the assumption that cohort size effects are homogenous across space and find robust evidence that the negative effect of youth cohort size is more pronounced in the labour markets of metropolitan regions. These results suggest an upward pressure on urban regional employment rates as a result of the projected decrease in the size of the German youth share.

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Year of publication:	October 2018
Authors:	Graaff, Thomas de ; Ozgen, Ceren ; Roth, Duncan
Publisher:	Bonn, Germany : IZA
Subject:	employment rate \| youth share \| Germany \| regional heterogeneity \| Deutschland \| Regionaler Arbeitsmarkt \| Regional labour market \| Junge Arbeitskräfte \| Young workers \| Jugendliche \| Youth \| Jugendarbeitslosigkeit \| Youth unemployment \| Erwerbstätigkeit \| Employment \| Schätzung \| Estimation \| Räumliche Verteilung \| Spatial distribution

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Extent:	1 Online-Ressource (circa 33 Seiten) Illustrationen
Series:	Discussion paper series / IZA. - Bonn : IZA, ZDB-ID 2120053-1. - Vol. no. 11932
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Type of publication (narrower categories):	Graue Literatur ; Non-commercial literature ; Arbeitspapier ; Working Paper
Language:	English
Other identifiers:	hdl:10419/193226 [Handle]
Classification:	J1 - Demographic Economics ; J2 - Time Allocation; Work Behavior; Employment Determination and Creation ; R1 - General Regional Economics ; R2 - Household Analysis
Source:	ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011947720