"Volatility Spillovers Between Crude Oil Futures Returns and Oil Company Stocks Return"
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the volatility spillovers between the returns on crude oil futures and oil company stocks using alternative multivariate GARCH models, namely the CCC model of Bollerslev (1990), VARMA-GARCH model of Ling and McAleer (2003), and VARMA-AGARCH model of McAleer et al. (2008). The paper investigates WTI crude oil futures returns and the stock returns of ten oil companies, which comprise the "supermajor" group of oil companies, namely Exxon Mobil (XOM), Royal Dutch Shell (RDS), Chevron Corporation (CVX), ConocoPhillips (COP), BP (BP) and Total S.A. (TOT), and four other large oil and gas companies, namely Petrobras (PBRA), Lukoil (LKOH), Surgutneftegas (SNGS), and Eni S.p.A. (ENI). Estimates of the conditional correlations between the WTI crude oil futures returns and oil company stock returns are found to be quite low using the CCC model, while the VARMA-GARCH and VARMA-AGARCH models suggest no significant volatility spillover effects in any pairs of returns. The paper also presents evidence of the asymmetric effects of negative and positive shocks of equal magnitude on the conditional variances in all pairs of returns.
Year of publication: |
2009-08
|
---|---|
Authors: | Chang, Chia-Lin ; McAleer, Michael ; Tansuchat, Roengchai |
Institutions: | Center for International Research on the Japanese Economy (CIRJE), Faculty of Economics |
Saved in:
freely available
Saved in favorites
Similar items by person
-
"Modelling Conditional Correlations in the Volatility of Asian Rubber Spot and Futures Returns"
Khamkaew, Tanchanok, (2009)
-
"Conditional Correlations and Volatility Spillovers Between Crude Oil and Stock Index Returns"
Tansuchat, Roengchai, (2010)
-
"Crude Oil Hedging Strategies Using Dynamic Multivariate GARCH"
Tansuchat, Roengchai, (2010)
- More ...