What happens during recessions, crunches and busts?
"We provide a comprehensive empirical characterization of the linkages between key macroeconomic and financial variables around business and financial cycles, for 21 OECD countries over the period 1960-2007. In particular, we analyse the implications of 122 recessions, 113 (28) credit contraction (crunch) episodes, 114 (28) episodes of house price declines (busts), 245 (61) episodes of equity price declines (busts), and their various overlaps in these countries, over the sample period. Our results indicate that the interactions between macroeconomic and financial variables can play a major role in determining the severity and duration of a recession. Specifically, we find evidence that recessions associated with credit crunches and house price busts tend to be deeper and longer than other recessions." Copyright (c) CEPR, CES, MSH, 2009.
Year of publication: |
2009
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Authors: | Claessens, Stijn ; Kose, M. Ayhan ; Terrones, Marco E. |
Published in: |
Economic Policy. - Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR). - Vol. 24.2009, 10, p. 653-700
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Publisher: |
Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) Center for Economic Studies (CES) Paris-Jourdan Sciences Économiques (PSE) |
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