When simple alternatives to Bayes formula work well : reducing the cognitive load when updating probability forecasts
Year of publication: |
2015
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Authors: | Goodwin, Paul |
Published in: |
Journal of business research : JBR. - New York, NY : Elsevier, ISSN 0148-2963, ZDB-ID 189773-1. - Vol. 68.2015, 8, p. 1686-1691
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Subject: | Bayes theorem | Forecasting | Heuristics | Probability estimation | Theorie | Theory | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung | Probability theory | Bayes-Statistik | Bayesian inference | Kognition | Cognition | Prognose | Forecast |
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