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convergence rate across the U.S. is about 7 percent per year – higher than the 2 percent normally found with OLS in cross …-country, U.S. state, and European region samples. Estimated convergence rates for 32 individual states are above 2 percent with … an average of 8.1 percent. For 29 states the convergence rate is above 2 percent with 95 percent confidence. For seven …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005118829
In this paper we outline (i) why ó-convergence may not accompany â- convergence, (ii)cite evidence of â-convergence in … the U.S., (iii) and use USA county-level data containing over 3,000 cross-sectional observations to demonstrate that ó-convergence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412590
We use county data with 3,058 observations to study growth and convergence in the US. We assess the effect of 40 … convergence rates around 2 percent, but 3SLS yields 6–8 percent; (2) convergence rates vary across the U.S. E.g., Southern …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412718
We use U.S. county data (3,058 observations) and 41 conditioning variables to study growth and convergence. Using OLS … and 3SLS-IV we report on the full sample and metro, non-metro, and 5 regional samples: (1) OLS yields convergence rates … around 2 percent; 3SLS yields 6–8 percent; (2) convergence rates vary (e.g., the Southern rate is 2.5 times the Northeastern …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076836
We utilize county-level data to explore the roles of different types of human capital accumulation in U.S. growth determination. The data includes over 3,000 cross-sectional observations and 39 demographic control variables. The large number of observations provides enough degrees of freedom to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126012
This report presents the results from a new model for projecting growth of OECD and major non-OECD economies over the next 50 years as well as imbalances that arise. A baseline scenario assuming gradual structural reform and fiscal consolidation to stabilise government-debt-to GDP ratios is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276725
This paper presents the results from a new model for projecting growth of OECD and major non-OECD economies over the next 50 years as well as imbalances that arise. A baseline scenario assuming gradual structural reform and fiscal consolidation to stabilise government-debt-to GDP ratios is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276784
This paper estimates the elasticities of government revenue and expenditure items with respect to the output gap for European Union (EU) countries. These elasticities are used by the European Commission, as part of the EU fiscal surveillance process, to calculate the semi-elasticity of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276822
This paper presents a simulation model of the main budget aggregates of federal, provincial and territorial governments in Canada. The general approach is to use a cyclical indicator (output gap), estimate the sensitivity of government revenue and expenditure to this cyclical indicator using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008548955
Although Canada remains in an advantageous fiscal position relative to many other OECD countries as the global economy recovers from the 2008/09 recession, the deterioration in the country’s public finances has been substantial. Years of spending increases above trend economic growth have led...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008752421