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Globalization, climatic changes and demography are the main forces modeling the development of societies, in general, and of each nation, in particular. Both offer opportunities but also imply challenges. The paper aims to identify and synthetically present some factors of influence which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008492983
the conditional logit model. The solution draws on the postestimation distribution of the models stochastic component …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261783
In the paper we describe in detail how to build linked CGE-microsimulation models (using fictitious data) following … the three models. Results show that all three approaches yield different results especially in terms of income … distribution and poverty, although analysed within the same economy and under the same policy simulation. We then analyse in more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298065
estimation, (2) computational methods for multinomial probit models, and (3) computational methods for Bayesian stimation. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109965
We develop a model of household demand for frequently purchased consumer goods that are branded, storable and subject to stochastic price fluctuations. Our framework accounts for how inventories and expectations of future prices affect current period purchase decisions. We estimate our model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257829
Our goal in this chapter is to explain concretely how to implement simulation methods in a very general class of models … that are extremely useful in applied work: dynamic discrete choice models where one has available a panel of multinomial … class of models that includes static discrete choice models, the Heckman (1976) selection model, and all of the Heckman …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260171
We study the performance of alternative sampling methods for estimating multivariate normal probabilities through the GHK simulator. The sampling methods are randomized versions of some quasi-Monte Carlo samples (Halton, Niederreiter, Niederreiter-Xing sequences and lattice points) and some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011067485
We propose a simulated maximum likelihood estimator for dynamic models based on non-parametric kernel methods. Our … method is designed for models without latent dynamics from which one can simulate observations but cannot obtain a closed … dynamic models that this nonparametric simulated maximum likelihood (NPSML) estimator is consistent and asymptotically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114113
In the paper we describe in detail how to build linked CGE-microsimulation models (using fictitious data) following … the three models. Results show that all three approaches yield different results especially in terms of income … distribution and poverty, although analysed within the same economy and under the same policy simulation. We then analyse in more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014047326
We discuss computational issues in the sequential probit model that have limited its use in applied research. We estimate parameters of the model by the method of simulated likelihood and by Bayesian MCMC algorithms. We provide Monte Carlo evidence on the relative performance of both estimators....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071383