Showing 1 - 10 of 19,469
Globalization, climatic changes and demography are the main forces modeling the development of societies, in general, and of each nation, in particular. Both offer opportunities but also imply challenges. The paper aims to identify and synthetically present some factors of influence which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008492983
the conditional logit model. The solution draws on the postestimation distribution of the models stochastic component …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261783
In the paper we describe in detail how to build linked CGE-microsimulation models (using fictitious data) following … the three models. Results show that all three approaches yield different results especially in terms of income … distribution and poverty, although analysed within the same economy and under the same policy simulation. We then analyse in more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298065
We propose a simulated maximum likelihood estimator for dynamic models based on non-parametric kernel methods. Our … method is designed for models without latent dynamics from which one can simulate observations but cannot obtain a closed … dynamic models that this nonparametric simulated maximum likelihood (NPSML) estimator is consistent and asymptotically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114113
In the paper we describe in detail how to build linked CGE-microsimulation models (using fictitious data) following … the three models. Results show that all three approaches yield different results especially in terms of income … distribution and poverty, although analysed within the same economy and under the same policy simulation. We then analyse in more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014047326
We propose a simulated maximum likelihood estimator for dynamic models based on non-parametric kernel methods. Our … method is designed for models without latent dynamics from which one can simulate observations but cannot obtain a closed … dynamic models that this nonparametric simulated maximum likelihood (NPSML) estimator is consistent and asymptotically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012722610
The paper introduces four unbiased probability-simulators which produce continuous (simulated) log-likelihood functions with almost everywhere continuous derivatives. Identification conditions are derived which show that in the presence of intercepts in the latent utilities, then the shocks'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858456
We discuss computational issues in the sequential probit model that have limited its use in applied research. We estimate parameters of the model by the method of simulated likelihood and by Bayesian MCMC algorithms. We provide Monte Carlo evidence on the relative performance of both estimators....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071383
The paper derives analytical transitions probabilities following an exogenous shock to the deterministic component in the conditional logit model. The solution draws on the postestimation distribution of the model's stochastic component, identified on the basis of a direct utility maximization...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319505
We develop a model of household demand for frequently purchased consumer goods that are branded, storable and subject to stochastic price fluctuations. Our framework accounts for how inventories and expectations of future prices affect current period purchase decisions. We estimate our model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257829