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I compare unemployment expectations from the Michigan Survey of Consumers to VAR forecastable movements in unemployment. I document three key facts. First, one-half to one-third of the population expects unemployment to rise when it is falling at the end of a recession even though the VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130533
This study extends the hybrid version of the baseline New-Keynesian model with heterogeneous agents who may adopt various forecast heuristics. With a focus on consumer expectations, we identify the most appropriate pairs of forecast heuristics that can lead to an equivalent fit to the data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011942376
The notion of bounded rationality has received a considerable attention in the midst of debate over the usefulness of various macroeconomic models. In this paper we empirically seek to analyze the baseline New-Keynesian model with heterogeneous agents who may adopt various heuristics used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011635481
This paper argues that political polarization plays a key role in shaping the economic expectations and consumption behavior of households. Using a combination of survey and consumption data of U.S. households, we document five facts. First, household beliefs are well-described by a single...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014237427
This paper examines whether biased income expectations due to overconfidence lead to higher levels of debt-taking. We show suggestive evidence for a link between overconfidence and borrowing behavior in a representative survey of German households (GSOEP-IS). This motivates a laboratory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468921
The purpose of this study is to build an understanding of the influence of utilitarian value, hedonic value, social value, and perceived risk on e-commerce customer satisfaction in Indonesia. Data was collected through an online survey and analyzed using Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012502304
Much of the literature on the attractiveness and pleasantness of retail stores has focused on the critical influence of store atmosphere or ambient attributes, which influence customer satisfaction and store choice. However, little is known about the environmental cues that influence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012424609
YouTube has become popular among consumers as an information preference in the decision-making process within the social commerce environment. YouTubers share experiences, information, opinions, and thoughts regarding products or services in product-review content, and consumers' motivations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014429109