This paper discusses the expectation formation process of Japanese stock market professionals and how their expectations are related to larger fluctuations of the TOPIX price than those of economic fundamentals. By utilizing a monthly forecast survey dataset on the TOPIX distributed by QUICK...

This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive regressions. Drawing on an extensive...

Purpose – The purpose of this article is to contribute to corporate marketing literature by examining how an individual's identification with a company influences their willingness to invest in the company's shares.Methodology/Approach – A set of hypotheses were developed based on theory,...

We show that the moving averages (MAs) of stock market indices act as psychological barriers and affect investors' trading. Market indices do not move continuously near their MAs, especially in markets dominated by unsophisticated investors. Utilizing international markets data, we show that the...

This paper introduces a new algorithm for exploiting time-series predictability-based patterns to obtain an abnormal return, or alpha, with respect to a given benchmark asset pricing model. The algorithm proposes a deterministic daily market timing strategy that decides between being fully...

In this study, we explore the dynamics of the stock market using an agent-based simulation platform. Our approach involves creating a multi-strategy market where each agent considers both fundamental and technical factors when determining their strategy. The agents vary in their approach to...