Showing 1 - 10 of 79
rare. Our methodology avoids look-ahead bias and addresses semantic shifts. War discourse positively predicts market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287305
We study how negative sentiment around an industry impacts beliefs and behaviors, focusing on demands for racial justice after the murder of George Floyd and the salience of the "defund the police" movement. We assess stakeholder beliefs on the impact of protests on the stock prices of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635693
Large literatures have analyzed racial and ethnic disparities in economic outcomes and access to the safety net. For such analyses that rely on survey data, it is crucial that survey accuracy does not vary by race and ethnicity. Otherwise, the observed disparities may be confounded by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056187
For investors, gold is an asset without a yield that is attractive in times of low and negative real interest rates. Gold also has an embedded put option because investors can sell it to those who value its use as jewelry or as a productive input. This paper presents an approach for pricing gold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322774
We develop new quasi-experimental tools to understand algorithmic discrimination and build non-discriminatory algorithms when the outcome of interest is only selectively observed. These tools are applied in the context of pretrial bail decisions, where conventional algorithmic predictions are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544682
We develop a dynamic microsimulation model to project the labor force and economic dependency ratios in the United States from 2022 to 2060, taking population projections and the large inequalities between population groups of different race/ethnicity and gender into account. We contrast policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576619
A rich economic literature has examined the human capital impacts of disease-eliminating health interventions, such as the rollout of new vaccines. This literature is based on reduced-form approaches which exploit proxies for disease burden, such as mortality, instead of actual infection counts,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334420
data to forecast turnover and productivity of clinicians to serve as an early warning system. Accurate estimates of both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537787
mortality if and only if mortality risk is convex in forecast errors. We test for such convexity using data on the universe of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322749
Many observers have forecast large partisan shifts in the US electorate based on demographic trends. Such forecasts are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015094858