We construct macro-and micro-panel data on international bank lending to six Asian economies—Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand—over the period 2000 to 2010 to analyze a number of objectives. The paper first examines the critical determinants not only to overall...

This research uses spectral methodology to study how the volatility of spot exchange rate misalignments changed as a result of signing of the Plaza Accord and introduction of the Euro. We study the deviations of Canadian Dollar/US Dollar, Japanese Yen/US Dollar and US Dollar/British Pound spot...

The recent global financial crisis has sparked a renewal of debate on the choice of exchange rate regimes. Creating a tripartite regime classification, the present study examines their determinants for 137 nations spanning the period 1999–2011. I find that trade openness, economic development,...

We analyze the dynamics of zero-coupon bond options in a situation in which the currently floating exchange rate between two countries' currencies is announced to be fixed on a given future date. To this end, we combine two strands of research that have been treated as separate issues up to...

The dollar, euro and yen still dominate the international financial system after the global recession. However, the renminbi is expected to be the next international currency with the continued growth of China. Will a forthcoming multiple reserve currency system be an origin of instability? This...

A key issue in monetary policymaking is the time inconsistency problem confronting central banks. The impact of openness on inflation enables testing this rule versus discretion debate. This study examines the effect of openness and exchange rate regimes on inflation for 137 countries from 1999...

A vast and growing empirical literature aims at identifying key determinants of sovereign default. The literature is extensive and controversial. Can policy-makers use this body of research to learn anything that can help reduce the likelihood of sovereign default? We use a variant of Extreme...

We analyze the economic and political determinants of country credit risk in both developed and emerging economies by using sovereign yield spreads as risk indicators. We document a high degree of model uncertainty and apply Bayesian Model Averaging to deal with this issue. GDP growth and...

Over the recent decades the most significant global imbalances have been between Asia-Pacific economies, with most attention directed to the imbalances of the largest economies, China, Japan and the United States. In contrast, this paper examines how external account imbalances and real long...

This paper proposes new measures of financial contagion, as observed during the recent Eurozone sovereign debt crisis. The new measures, referred to as contagion Value-at-Risk and contagion Expected Shortfall, are based on popular risk exposure measures and therefore can provide useful practical...