China is well-placed to avoid the so-called “middle-income trap” and to continue to converge towards the more advanced economies, even though growth is likely to slow from near double-digit rates in the first decade of this millennium to around 7% at the 2020 horizon. However, in order to...

Chapter 1. Introduction -- Chapter 2. Trends in Growth since the GFC -- Chapter 3. Credit, Employment and the Current Account -- Chapter 4. Capital Formation and Foreign Investment -- Chapter 5. Inflation and Monetary Developments -- Chapter 6. Policy and Analyses Chapter -- 7. Reflexive, not...

1. Introduction -- Part I. The “Party Period” Before the Crisis -- 2. The Costs and Benefits for Joining a Common Currency with Emphasis on Weaker Member States: The Pre-crisis Debate -- 3. Greece Before the Crisis: The Critical Years in Domestic Politics -- 4. IMF and EU Reports on Greece...

1. Financial Integration, Bank Competition and Intra-Eurozone Foreign Direct Investment -- 2. Export Margins, Employment Skills and Financial Conditions: Stylized Facts from Greek Exporters -- 3. Why a revival of Greek manufacturing is a prerequisite to ensure a prosperous future for the country...

The aim of this paper is to provide an assessment of the medium-term financial strategies operating in and available to OECD economies. Three issues are discussed: first, the rationale for the increasing adoption of medium-term budgetary and monetary objectives; second, the appropriate criteria...

Monetary Issues: Monetary Unions: Between International Trade and National Sovereignty -- Why a Monetary Union?- Monetary Policy in a Monetary Union: Lessons from Simple Models -- Institutions and Monetary Policy -- Fiscal Issues: Government Deficits, Transfers and Debt -- Fiscal Policies in a...

This paper presents the results from a new model for projecting growth of OECD and major non-OECD economies over the next 50 years as well as imbalances that arise. A baseline scenario assuming gradual structural reform and fiscal consolidation to stabilise government-debt-to GDP ratios is...

Growth in emerging market economies (EMEs) is set to durably slow from the rates observed over 2010-12 as cyclical effects fade, potential growth declines and external financing conditions tighten. Large negative current account balances make some EMEs vulnerable to sudden reversals in capital...