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If Stage Three of EMU starts on 1 January 1999, transition issues remain on two time scales. Until 1 July 2002, national currencies and the euro coexist as legal tender. We argue that intra-EMU currency risk exists in principle during that period, but that no EMU member can be forced out through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114259
This paper critically evaluates the literature on international unconventional monetary policies. We begin by reviewing the theories of how such heterogeneous policies could work. Empirically, event studies provide compelling evidence that international asset purchase announcements have strongly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011585844
In this study, we empirically attempt to investigate output growth forecasts as a result of dynamic interplay between money supplies and output growths of Southern African Common Monetary Area (SACMA) countries using Vector Error Correction Models (VECM). In general, the results show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406786
We extend Ruge-Murcia (2003, 2004) to weigh inflation and output and show that empirical evidence supports an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011041803
We characterize monetary and fiscal policy rules to implement optimal responses to a substantial decline in the natural rate of interest, and compare them with policy decisions made by the Japanese central bank and government in 1999-2004. First, we find that the Bank of Japan's policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005033484
economies. The general findings for monetary policy are that, while it was costly to lower inflation (in terms of output and … inflation further from its already low level. While inflation was being lowered, in a number of cases central banks were also … evidence that these changes have helped in terms of better anchoring inflation expectations. At the same time there is no firm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005045854
that delegation enables a wider class of economies to sustain zero inflation than would be able to do so in its absence. We … schemes, delegated policy enables zero inflation to prevail in economies in which it could not do so without delegated policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656362
In this study, we perform a quantitative assessment of the role of money as an indicator variable for monetary policy in the euro area. We document the magnitude of revisions to euro area-wide data on output, prices and money, and find that monetary aggregates have a potentially significant role...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661786
This 2003 Institute for Fiscal Studies Lecture addresses two sets of issues relevant to current and prospective future E(M)U members: the consequences of the Stability and Growth Pact for fiscal-financial sustainability and macroeconomic stability, and some risks associated with operational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662197
alternative monetary policy strategies. We start with the relationship between output and inflation and investigate the fit of the … reject the nominal contracting model in favor of the relative contracting model which induces more inflation persistence, we … in countries which transitioned out of a high inflation regime such as France and Italy. We close the model by estimating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791867