Gürtler, Marc; Hibbeln, Martin - In: Journal of Banking & Finance 37 (2013) 7, pp. 2354-2366
An accurate forecast of the parameter loss given default (LGD) of loans plays a crucial role for risk-based decision making by banks. We theoretically analyze problems arising when forecasting LGDs of bank loans that lead to inconsistent estimates and a low predictive power. We present several...