The history of economic recessions has shown that every deep downturn has been accompanied by disruptions in the ?financial sector. Paradoxically, up until the ?financial world crisis of 2007-2009, little attention was given to macroeconomic and ?financial interdependence. And, in spite of a...

In this paper we expanded the closed economy model by Bernanke and Gertler (1999) in order to account for the macroeconomic effects of an asset price bubble in the context of a small open economy model. During the nineties emerging market economies opened their financial accounts to foreign...

En este documento se propone utilizar la metodología de perfiles coincidentes propuesta por Martínez (2010), con el fin de determinar si un conjunto de indicadores obtenidos de encuestas de opinión y otras fuentes son coincidentes o líderes de los indicadores económicos observables y, que...

The recent financial crisis has renewed the interest of economists, both at the theoretical and empirical level, in developing a better understanding of credit and its mechanisms. A rapidly growing strand of the literature views banks as facing funding restrictions that condition their borrowing...

In this paper we investigate the impact of rapid credit growth on ex ante credit risk. We present micro-econometric evidence of the positive relationship between rapid credit growth and deterioration in lending portfolios: Loans granted during boom periods have higher probability of default than...

En este documento se caracteriza la política fiscal en Colombia a partir de la valoración de los tres aspectos más relevantes desde la perspectiva macroeconómica: su posición frente al ciclo, su volatilidad y la sostenibilidad de la deuda. Los resultados encontrados se comparan a nivel...

Este documento evalúa el grado de transmisión de corto y largo plazo sobre la inflación de los bienes importados de un choque a la depreciación del peso colombiano cuando se controla por el ciclo económico. Encontramos que la transmisión es mayor cuando la perturbación ocurre en un...

The purpose of this study is twofold: First, it provides an empirical characterization of fiscal policy in Colombia over the last decades, by assessing the three most relevant macroeconomic factors: the behavior of fiscal policy over the business cycle; whether it has been coherent with the...

This article analyzes identification problems that may arise while linearizing and solving DSGE models. A criterion is proposed to determine whether or not a set of parameters is partially identifiable, in the sense of Canova and Sala (2009), based on the computation of a basis for the null...

Este trabajo pretende determinar qué conjunto de rigideces nominales y reales se debe incluir en un modelo DSGE para replicar la dinámica de las variables agregadas de la economía colombiana. Con este fin, se estiman varios modelos DSGE con distintas combinaciones de rigideces nominales y...