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Real-Time Analysis of Oil Price Risks Using Forecast Scenarios

Baumeister, Christiane; Kilian, Lutz - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2011

Recently, there has been increased interest in real-time forecasts of the real price of crude oil. Standard oil price forecasts based on reduced-form regressions or based on oil futures prices do not allow consumers of forecasts to explore how much the forecast would change relative to the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009385759

Real-Time Forecasts of the Real Price of Oil

Baumeister, Christiane; Kilian, Lutz - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2011

We construct a monthly real-time data set consisting of vintages for 1991.1-2010.12 that is suitable for generating forecasts of the real price of oil from a variety of models. We document that revisions of the data typically represent news, and we introduce backcasting and nowcasting techniques...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009493559

Measuring Top Incomes and lnequality in the Middle East: Data Limitations and Illustration with the Case of Egypt

Alvaredo, Facundo; Piketty, Thomas - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2014

East, with special emphasis to the case of Egypt. It has been noted that high inequality might have contributed to the Arab … income shares in a country like Egypt(or in other Middle East countries). One would need reliable fiscal sources in order to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011171781

Did Muhammad Ali Foster Industrialization in Early 19th Century Egypt?

Panza, Laura; Williamson, Jeffrey G - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2013

Muhammad Ali, who ruled Egypt between 1805 and 1849, intervened in Egyptian markets in an attempt to foster … Egyptian history than from other poor countries at that time since Egypt faced the same terms of trade boom typical of most …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083712

Macroinsurance for Microenterprises: A Randomized Experiment in Post-Revolution Egypt

McKenzie, David - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2014

conduct a randomized experiment in post-revolution Egypt to measure the impact of insuring microenterprises against …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084029

Trade Integration with Europe, Export Diversification and Economic Growth in Egypt

Dessus, Sébastien; Suwa Eisenmann, Akiko - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1998

Egypt needs to diversify exports further in order to emerge from its isolation and to draw the maximum advantage from …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791201

An Egypt-United States Free Trade Agreement: Economic Incentives and Effects

Hoekman, Bernard; Konan, Denise; Maskus, Keith - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1998

This paper explores the economic impact of a free trade agreement (FTA) between Egypt and the United States, assuming … that Egypt implements both the recently agreed Arab League FTA and a Partnership Agreement with the European Union. An … Egypt-United States agreement would improve Egypt’s economic welfare. Gains would be maximized if the agreement were to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791561

Effective Protection and Investment Incentives in Egypt and Jordan During the Transition to Free Trade with Europe

Djankov, Simeon; Hoekman, Bernard - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1996

This paper assesses the possible impact of a Euro-Mediterranean Agreement (EMA) on Egypt and Jordan and identifies …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791725

Deep Integration, Non-Discrimination and Euro-Mediterranean Free Trade

Hoekman, Bernard; Konan, Denise - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1999

Key questions in evaluating the justification for free trade agreements (FTAs) are whether formal international cooperation is necessary to promote greater contestability of markets through harmonization or recognition of regulatory regimes ("deep integration"), and whether any actions taken to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792240

Entrepreneurial innovations and taxation

Haufler, Andreas; Norbäck, Pehr-Johan; Persson, Lars - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2012

Stimulating entrepreneurship is high on the policy agenda of many countries. We study the effects of tax policies on entrepreneurs’ choice of riskiness (quality) of an innovation project, and on their mode of commercializing the innovation (market entry versus sale). Limited loss offset...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083431