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gains, such as credibility, as a rationale for trade agreements. The empirical literature, however, has lagged behind in the … credibility gains play a role in increasing the probability of two countries signing an agreement. Moreover, agreements with a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320405
foreign exchange market; forward rates falling outside the projected band do not necessarily reflect lack of credibility in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791232
Under the assumption of no arbitrage, exchange rate target-zone credibility is tested by whether domestic interest … investment in the absence of a devaluation. Under the assumption of uncovered interest rate parity, credibility is tested by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791263
This Paper examines how public debt, government credibility and external circumstances affect the probability of … credibility on the expected devaluation for the current and future periods. This allows us to identify factors affecting the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791395
stability of the Gold Standard is the credibility of the official commitment to gold. Knowing that policy-makers would intervene … need for actual intervention was minimized. Credibility derived from the fact that the commitment to the Gold Standard was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791519
this question appropriately, one must consider that EMS membership brings potentially large credibility gains to policy … inefficiency stemming from the public's mistrust for the authorities. We study the conditions under which these credibility gains …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791653
This paper sets a framework for analysing how memoryless voters may come to elect and re-elect a committed policy-maker. Policy-makers, we assume, are trusted to implement the policy that they announce ex ante (and do implement it, if elected and re-elected). Voters, however, are never bound by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791828
We test for evidence that US trade policy depends on the degree of government discretion. We do this by studying US tariff choices under two distinct environments. One is that of tariffs set under the Escape Clause (section 201 of the US Trade Act of 1974). The other is the Tokyo Round of GATT...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791964
It is argued that trigger mechanisms cannot support reputation if voters are atomistic and have access to good information about party preferences. Therefore the choice for a party lies between precommitment, enforced by penalties, and discretion. The paper uses a model of Labor and Conservative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792111
How should countries like Poland or the USSR move towards price flexibility, gradually or in a `big bang'? Why is it that governments committed to eventual price flexibility so often seem to be unable to let go of `temporary' controls? How can one explain that after price increases early in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792523