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between risk and uncertainty is implemented by applying the Gilboa-Schmeidler maxmin with multiple priors framework to lenders …, ultimate lenders and financial intermediaries. The model is used to investigate the impact of uncertainty about the likelihood … include: (i) An unanticipated increase in bailout uncertainty raises interest rates, the volume of defaults in both the real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009144737
their growth. Economic theory suggests uncertainty can cause firms to delay investments until uncertainty is resolved. We …Firms in many developing countries cite macroeconomic instability and political uncertainty as major constraints to … conduct a randomized experiment in post-revolution Egypt to measure the impact of insuring microenterprises against …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084029
We show that in weakly identified models (1) the posterior mode will not be a consistent estimator of the true parameter vector, (2) the posterior distribution will not be Gaussian even asymptotically, and (3) Bayesian credible sets and frequentist confidence sets will not coincide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528534
intertemporal decisions. The theory has applications in areas as diverse as labour supply, savings and investment, or education and …-maintenance must, however, be traded off against the risks of overconfidence. Moreover, rational inference implies that the individual … provides a formal account of (endogenously) selective memory or awareness, such as the tendency to remember one's successes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136755
-monitoring is subject to opportunistic distortions of memory or attribution. We then study how recall and inference processes can … or religious precepts, etc.) through which people seek to achieve self-control. Our theory is based on the idea of self …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136762
welfare state. More generally, the paper develops a theory of collective beliefs and motivated cognitions, including those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504312
like oneself. Our Paper thus provides a psychologically grounded theory of endogenous peer effects, as well as of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656406
We analyze social and economic phenomena involving beliefs which people value and invest in, for affective or functional reasons. Individuals are at times uncertain about their own 'deep values' and infer them from their past choices, which then come to define 'who they are'. Identity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661790
Provider competition is a currently popular healthcare reform model. A necessary condition for greater competition to improve quality is that providers will face higher demand if they improve their quality. We test this crucial assumption in an important part of the health care market using data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084725
Extending choice in health care is currently popular amongst English, and other, politicians. Those promoting choice … choice acts as a major driver for efficiency. Giving service users the ability to choose applies competitive pressure to … subjects this assumption to the scrutiny provided by a review of the theoretical and empirical economic evidence on choice in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067537