Showing 1 - 10 of 596
between risk and uncertainty is implemented by applying the Gilboa-Schmeidler maxmin with multiple priors framework to lenders …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009144737
This paper proposes a new approach for modeling investor fear after rare disasters. The key element is to take into account that investors' information about fundamentals driving rare downward jumps in the dividend process is not perfect. Bayesian learning implies that beliefs about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009201120
This Paper analyses the welfare effects of price restrictions on private contracting in a world where agents have a limited cognitive ability. People compute the costs and benefits of entering a transaction with an error. The government knows the distribution of true costs and benefits as well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662402
Instrumental variable estimation requires untestable exclusion restrictions. With policy effects on individual outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792073
Using a large sample of retail investors as well as experimental data we find that risk and ambiguity aversion are … positively correlated. We show the common link is decision style: intuitive thinkers tolerate more risk and ambiguity than … find that risk and ambiguity aversion vary with individual characteristics and wealth. The wealthy are less risk averse but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008915807
averse to risk and ambiguity. The evidence is largely correlational, however, leaving open the question of the direction of … causality. In this paper, we present experimental evidence of causation running from reliance on intuition to risk and ambiguity … lowers the probability of being ambiguity averse by 30 percentage points and increases risk tolerance by about 30 percent in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083555
When an agent chooses between prospects, noise in information processing generates an effect akin to the winner’s curse. Statistically unbiased perception systematically overvalues the chosen action because it fails to account for the possibility that noise is responsible for making the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083577
Confirmation bias refers to cognitive errors that bias one towards one's own prior beliefs. A vast empirical literature documents its existence and psychologists identify it as one of the most problematic aspects of human reasoning. In this paper, we present three related scenarios where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661569
This Paper analyses the effect of dynamic capital structure adjustments on credit risk. Firms may optimally adjust … find that the underestimation of credit spreads and expected default frequencies is exacerbated when the risk … it is shown that the Value-at-Risk of corporate bonds increases with the distance to default (DD) both for very low and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123682
In this Paper we introduce flexibility as an economic concept and apply it to the firm’s security-issuance decisions and capital structure choice. Flexibility is the ability to make decisions that one thinks are best even when others disagree. Firms value flexibility because it allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666532