Showing 1 - 10 of 70
This paper provides evidence that learning about demand is an important driver of firms' dynamics. We present a simple … model with Bayesian learning in which firms are uncertain about their idiosyncratic demand parameter in each of the markets … their beliefs following a new demand shock, the younger they are. To test this learning mechanism, we make use of a specific …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011213311
correlated learning may render it optimal to enter markets sequentially – an investment in market A is only followed by entry in …, we identify correlated learning across markets beyond alternative explanations as a key driver of gradualism in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009246612
A competitive stock market is embedded into a neoclassical growth economy to analyze the interplay between the acquisition of information about firms, its partial revelation through stock prices, capital allocation and income. The stock market allows investors to share their costly private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293661
We study the pricing of political uncertainty in a general equilibrium model of government policy choice. We find that political uncertainty commands a risk premium whose magnitude is larger in poorer economic conditions. Political uncertainty reduces the value of the implicit put protection...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320399
Many new exporters give up exporting very shortly, despite substantial entry costs; others shoot up foreign sales and expand to new destinations. We develop a model based on experimentation to rationalize these and other dynamic patterns of exporting firms. We posit that individual export...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692316
, leverage, and asset prices larger than predicted under either rational expectations without learning or with learning but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008466355
policy-makers, learning from the experience of the 1970s, eschewed activist policies in favour of policies that concentrated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662108
We propose a simple model of optimal stopping where the economic environment changes as a result of learning. A primary … idiosyncratic productivity distribution across firms. For the first model, we show that learning leads to higher wage demands by the … workers. In the second model, we give sufficient conditions so that learning leads to higher wage demands for optimistic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662418
models of expectations formation that rely on econometric learning. Some apparently natural policy rules turn out to imply … expectational instability of private agents' learning. We use the standard New Keynesian model to illustrate this problem and survey … learning. We then consider some practical concerns such as measurement errors in private expectations, observability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666454
We develop a model in which an entrepreneur learns about the average profitability of a private firm before deciding whether to take the firm public. In this decision, the entrepreneur trades off diversification benefits of going public against benefits of private control. The model predicts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666477