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Do Giant Oilfield Discoveries Fuel Internal Armed Conflicts?

Lei, Yu-Hsiang; Michaels, Guy - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2011

We use new data to examine the effects of giant oilfield discoveries around the world since 1946. On average, these discoveries increase per capita oil production and oil exports by up to 50 percent. But these giant oilfield discoveries also have a dark side: they increase the incidence of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009351523

Civil War, Public Goods and the Social Wealth of Nations

Kanbur, Ravi; Pottebaum, David - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2002

This Paper establishes and explores the implications of a somewhat surprising empirical finding. Although civil war adversely affects the performance of social indicators in general, poorer countries lose less, in absolute and relative terms, than richer countries. It is argued that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123856

Rural Windfall or a New Resource Curse? Coca, Income and Civil Conflict in Colombia

Angrist, Joshua; Kugler, Adriana D. - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2005

consequences of a major shift in the production of coca paste from Peru and Bolivia to Colombia, where most coca leaf is now … Colombia, provided an exogenous boost in the demand for Colombian coca leaf. Our analysis shows this shift generated economic …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124245

Civil Wars and International Trade

Martin, Philippe; Mayer, Thierry; Thoenig, Mathias - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2008

This paper analyzes empirically the relationship between civil wars and international trade. We first show that trade destruction due to civil wars is very large and persistent and increases with the severity of the conflict. We then test the presence of two effects that trade can have on the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124456

Diamonds are Forever, Wars are Not: Is Conflict Bad for Private Firms?

Guidolin, Massimo; La Ferrara, Eliana - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2004

on the intensity of conflict, and find that moderate levels of violence increased the abnormal returns of the ‘Angolan …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067422

War Signals: A Theory of Trade, Trust and Conflict

Rohner, Dominic; Thoenig, Mathias; Zilibotti, Fabrizio - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2011

We construct a dynamic theory of civil conflict hinging on inter-ethnic trust and trade. The model economy is inhabitated by two ethnic groups. Inter-ethnic trade requires imperfectly observed bilateral investments and one group has to form beliefs on the average propensity to trade of the other...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003383

Ethnicity and the spread of civil war

Bosker, Maarten; de Ree, Joppe - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2010

Civil wars critically hinder a country's development process. This paper shows that civil wars can also have severe international consequences. Anecdotal evidence highlights that civil wars sometimes spill over international boundaries. Using a more rigorous econometric approach we provide...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008684678

External shocks, internal shots: the geography of civil conflicts

Berman, Nicolas; Couttenier, Mathieu - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2014

to study the impact of external income shocks on the likelihood of violence. We consider a number of external demand …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083429

Growth, Democracy, and Civil War

Brückner, Markus; Ciccone, Antonio - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2007

Are civil wars partly caused by low economic growth? And do democratic institutions attenuate the impact of low growth on the likelihood of civil war? Our approach to answering these questions exploits that international commodity prices have a significant effect on income growth in Sub-Saharan...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789158

Poverty and Civil War: Revisiting the evidence

Djankov, Simeon; Reynal-Querol, Marta - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2008

A popular "stylized fact" is that poverty is a main determinant of civil war: several scholars have interpreted the … correlation between the two as evidence supporting this claim. In this paper, we find that the relationship between poverty and … particular, the statistical association between poverty, as proxied by income per capita, and civil wars disappears once we …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662009