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Forward Guidance in a Simple Model with a Zero Lower Bound
Illing, Gerhard; Siemsen, Thomas - CESifo - 2014
the role of long-run and short-run price stickiness under discretion and commitment in a straightforward and intuitive way …. Despite the impact of price rigidity on welfare being non-linear, losses under discretion are lowest with perfectly flexible … when a commitment to hold nominal rates at zero for an extended period is optimal. We then introduce government spending …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877957
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Inflation Targeting by Debtor Central Banks in Emerging Market Economies
Löffler, Axel; Schnabl, Gunther; Schobert, Franziska - CESifo - 2010
Given buoyant capital inflows and managed exchange rates the majority of emerging market central banks have continued to accumulate massive foreign reserves. If left unsterilized, the liquidity expansion can threaten domestic macroeconomic stability. To contain domestic inflation these central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008511598
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Structural Distortions and Decentralized Fiscal Policies in EMU
Beetsma, Roel; Bovenberg, Lans - CESifo - 2001
The combination of discretionary monetary policy, labor-market distortions and nominal wage rigidity yields an inflation bias as monetary policy tries to exploit nominal wage contracts to address labour-market distortions Although an inflation target eliminates this inflation bias, it creates a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765964
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Sovereign Default Risk and Banks in a Monetary Union
Uhlig, Harald - CESifo - 2013
This paper seeks to understand the interplay between banks, bank regulation, sovereign default risk and central bank guarantees in a monetary union. I assume that banks can use sovereign bonds for repurchase agreements with a common central bank, and that their sovereign partially backs up any...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877795
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Fiscal Multipliers and the Choice of Zero Lower Bound Modeling
Siemsen, Thomas; Watzka, Sebastian - CESifo - 2013
In this note we elaborate on the effect of the modeling choice of the zero lower bound on the size of the fiscal multiplier. To this end we contrast two different ways to implement the ZLB in a New Keynesian model: the ZLB modeled as an endogenous central bank reaction to a contractionary demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010681227
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Transparency, Flexibility and Macroeconomic Stabilization
Geraats, Petra - CESifo - 2014
Many central banks have become more transparent during the last decade, in particular about macroeconomic prospects. This paper shows that such economic transparency could give central banks greater flexibility to respond to macroeconomic shocks. In particular, it allows central banks to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877697
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The Tragedy of the Commons and Inflation Bias in the Euro Area
Dinger, Valeriya; Steinkamp, Sven; Westermann, Frank - CESifo - 2012
Central bank credit has expanded dramatically in some of the euro area member countries since the beginning of the financial crisis. This paper makes two contributions to understand this stylized fact. First, we discuss a simple model of monetary policy that includes (i) a credit channel and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877778
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How Expoerts Decide: Preferences or Private Assessments on a Monetary Policy Committee?
Hansen, Stephen; McMahon, Michael; Rivera, Carlos Velasco - CESifo - 2013
Using voting data from the Bank of England, we show that different individual assessments of the economy strongly influence votes after controlling for individual policy preferences. We estimate that internal members form more precise assessments than externals and are also more hawkish, though...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877935
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Optimal Conservatism and Collective Monetary Policymaking under Uncertainty
Hefeker, Carsten; Zimmer, Blandine - CESifo - 2014
We study how the optimal degree of conservatism relates to decision-making procedures in a Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). In our framework, central bank conservatism is required to attenuate the volatility of monetary decisions generated by the presence of uncertainty about the committee...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010888452
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Modeling Two Macro Policy Instruments - Interest Rates and Aggregate Capital Requirements
Gersbach, Hans; Hahn, Volker - CESifo - 2011
We present a simple neoclassical model to explore how an aggregate bank-capital requirement can be used as a macroeconomic policy tool and how this additional tool interacts with monetary policy. Aggregate bank-capital requirements should be adjusted when the economy is hit by cost-push shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320780