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Rational expectations do not require beliefs to be consistent with history and with what agents can conclude from it …. Actually, at a rational expectations equilibrium agents may hold beliefs that explain poorly the history they observe, even … expectations instead —in the sense of following from beliefs that explain history better than any other beliefs justifying their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011246314
In an economy with asymmetric information, Rational Expectations Equilibria (REE) need not become asymptotically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005669222
We provide a definition of the rational expectations core in an atomless economy with asset markets and show that … allocations in the core can be decentralized by a system of asset and spot prices as rational expectations equilibria. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005669323
reasons why adaptive learning may or may not lead to stability and convergence to self-fulfilling expectations in large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005043711
reasons why adaptative learning may or may not lead to stability and convergence to self-fulfilling expectations in large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005669330
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In a game with rational expectations individuals refine their information with the information revealed by strategies … expectations, the information of individuals is essentially summetris: the same profile is also an equilibrium of a game with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005634162
In this paper we model Value-at-Risk (VaR) for daily stock index returns using a collection of parametric models of the ARCH family based on the skewed Student distribution. We show that models that rely on a symmetric density distribution for the error term underperform with respect to skewed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005669280
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