Showing 1 - 10 of 10
A decision maker is asked to express her beliefs by assigning probabilities to certain possible states. We focus on the … of beliefs given each of the databases, the belief formation process follows a simple formula: beliefs are a similarity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005463949
the current values of x to generate an assessment of y is similarity-weighted averaging. It suggests that the predicted … similarity between the vector x_{n+1}^{1},...,x_{n+1}^{m}, associated with y_{n+1}, and the previously observed vector, x_{i}^{1 …},...,x_{i}^{m}. This paper axiomatizes, in terms of the prediction y_{n+1}, a similarity function that is a (decreasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005463969
This paper extends recent findings of Lieberman and Phillips (2014) on stochastic unit root (SUR) models to a multivariate case including a comprehensive asymptotic theory for estimation of the model's parameters. The extensions are useful because they lead to a generalization of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011096425
A time-varying autoregression is considered with a similarity-based coefficient and possible drift. It is shown that … the random walk model has a natural interpretation as the leading term in a small-sigma expansion of a similarity model … with an exponential similarity function as its autoregressive coefficient. Consistency of the quasi-maximum likelihood …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011184577
We propose a new method of testing stochastic dominance that improves on existing tests based on the standard bootstrap or subsampling. The method admits prospects involving infinite as well as finite dimensional unknown parameters, so that the variables are allowed to be residuals from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005011842
observations of X and Y with the current values of X to generate an assessment of Y is similarity-weighted averaging. It suggests … of Y_{i}, for every i =1,...,n, is the similarity between the vector X_{p}^{1},...,X_{p}^{m}, associated with Y_{p}, and … are determined by the proximity to a similarity-weighted average for a certain similarity function. The axiomatization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005093957
People reason about real-estate prices both in terms of general rules and in terms of analogies to similar cases. We propose to empirically test which mode of reasoning fits the data better. To this end, we develop the statistical techniques required for the estimation of the case-based model....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593371
probabilities assumed in Knightian decision theory. I argue that some standard uses of classical inference are Knightian in spirit … classical statisticians act unconsciously as Knightian decision makers. If one accepts this argument, then it is of interest to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762490
Decision Makers express their view on what is fair for others, by recommending a payoff allocation for three subjects … suggest that Decision Makers' choices can be (noisily) described as a convex combination of the Shapley value and equal split …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010895694
We compare laboratory general equilibrium economies in which maintenance of a depreciating public facility is financed either by anonymous voluntary contributions or taxes. Agents individually allocate their private goods between consumption and investment in production. The experimental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686937