Showing 1 - 10 of 12
Behavioral economics has demonstrated systematic decision-making biases in both lab and field data. But are these biases learned or innate? We investigate this question using experiments on a novel set of subjects — capuchin monkeys. By introducing a fiat currency and trade to a capuchin...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005087355
We propose a procedure for estimating the critical values of the Klecan, McFadden, and McFadden (1990) test for first and second order stochastic dominance in the general k-prospect case. Our method is based on subsampling bootstrap. We show that the resulting test is consistent. We allow for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593569
-by-state utility deviations from the mean, and rho(d) is a measure of (aversion to) dispersion that corresponds to an uncertainty … premium. The key feature of these mean-dispersion preferences is that they exhibit constant absolute uncertainty aversion … dispersion function rho(dot) correspond to known models, to probabilistic sophistication, and to some new notions of uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009644449
under this kind of uncertainty, with preferences that satisfy the expected utility hypothesis. Various social welfare … ignore the uncertainty concerning the possible disappearance of the human species in the future. We conclude with some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196022
Stimulated by Frank Knight's work, "Risk, Uncertainty and Profit," I present a theory of innovation based on what I … term Knightian decision theory. This theory includes a concept of uncertainty aversion, a behavioral property that makes … individual investors with unusually low levels of uncertainty aversion. Also, it should be difficult to innovate new markets for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005463850
Although the theory of decision making under uncertainty has been extensively studied for a half century, applications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464049
conditions concerning the structure of uncertainty and preferences, society has an indefinitely large expected loss from high …-making under uncertainty. However, the conditions necessary for the Dismal Theorem to hold are limited and do not apply to a wide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593631
Savage motivated his Sure Thing Principle by arguing that, whenever an act would be preferred if an event obtains and preferred if that event did not obtain, then it should be preferred overall. The idea that it should be possible to decompose and recompose decision problems in this way has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004990721
A theory of choice under uncertainty is proposed which removes the completeness assumption from the Anscombe … rigorous expression to Frank Knight's distinction between risk and uncertainty. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004990797
We conduct two experiments where subjects make a sequence of binary choices between risky and ambiguous binary lotteries. Risky lotteries are defined as lotteries where the relative frequencies of outcomes are known. Ambiguous lotteries are lotteries where the relative frequencies of outcomes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010895663