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inflation in developing countries and further explores this link in the absence of public sector wage expenditure. Sri Lanka, a … developing country with a persistent fiscal deficit, a large public sector and increasing inflation, has been chosen for the … narrow money is associated with about an 11 percentage point increase in inflation. This link becomes weaker in the absence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010640547
We investigate the roles of a time-varying inflation target and monetary and fiscal policy stances on the dynamics of … inflation in a DSGE model. Under an active monetary and passive fiscal policy regime, inflation closely follows the path of the … inflation target and a stronger reaction of monetary policy to inflation decreases the response of inflation to non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010718046
A puzzle from the Great Recession is an apparent mismatch between a fall in the persistence of European inflation rates …, and the increased variability of expert forecasts of inflation. We explain this puzzle and show how country specific … beliefs about inflation are still quite close to the European Central Bank target of 2% (what we call official target …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904282
This article examines the performance of inflation targeters during the 2007-2012 downturn compared to those without … successful policy results in higher inflation and output growth, lower unemployment, and a better fiscal position. The analysis … is conducted separately for developed and emerging countries. Inflation targeting tends to insulate developed countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010938592
We examine the effect of inflation variability and economic growth using annual historical data on both developing and … inflation variability by the five-year coefficient of variation of inflation, we obtain the following results: (1) For … developing countries, there is significant evidence to suggest that when the rate of inflation exceeds 10 percent inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009274828
This paper extends the New Keynesian Phillips curve model to include inflation volatility and tests the determinants of … such volatility for India. It provides results on the determinants of inflation volatility and expected inflation … volatility for OLS and ARDL (1,1) models and for change in inflation volatility and change in expected inflation volatility using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010640533
This paper amends the New Keynesian Phillips curve model to include inflation volatility. It provides results on the … determinants of inflation volatility and expected inflation volatility for OLS and ARDL(1,1) models and for change in inflation … volatility and change in expected inflation volatility using ECM models. Output gap affects change in expected inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010640537
price changes? To examine this question we decompose CPI inflation and "core" inflation into their permanent and transitory … to offsetting transitory shocks correlated with the permanent shocks. The stationarity of inflation may be time …-varying, so we examine the performance of the core measure of inflation for periods during which it appears that inflation is I(1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185982
real depreciation of the rupiah, and rapid growth of base money, which resulted in inflation. Thus all prices rose, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005115699
This paper amends the New Keynesian Phillips curve model to include inflation volatility and tests the determinants of … such volatility for India. It provides results on the determinants of inflation volatility and expected inflation … volatility for OLS and ARDL (1,1) models and for change in inflation volatility and change in expected inflation volatility using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011201603