Showing 1 - 10 of 103
This article examines the performance of inflation targeters during the 2007-2012 downturn compared to those without … successful policy results in higher inflation and output growth, lower unemployment, and a better fiscal position. The analysis … is conducted separately for developed and emerging countries. Inflation targeting tends to insulate developed countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010938592
A new test for financial market contagion based on changes in extremal dependence defined as co-kurtosis and co-volatility is developed to identify the propagation mechanism of shocks across international financial markets. The proposed approach captures changes in various aspects of the asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904225
This paper amends the New Keynesian Phillips curve model to include inflation volatility and tests the determinants of … such volatility for India. It provides results on the determinants of inflation volatility and expected inflation … volatility for OLS and ARDL (1,1) models and for change in inflation volatility and change in expected inflation volatility using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011201603
This paper studies the joint dynamics of U.S. inflation and the average inflation predictions of the Survey of … consists of the unobserved components (UC) model of Stock and Watson (2007, "Why has US inflation become harder to forecast … Journal of Economics 117, 1295-1328). We introduce timevarying inflation gap persistence into the Stock and Watson (SW …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011203192
We examine the effect of inflation variability and economic growth using annual historical data on both developing and … inflation variability by the five-year coefficient of variation of inflation, we obtain the following results: (1) For … developing countries, there is significant evidence to suggest that when the rate of inflation exceeds 10 percent inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009274828
price changes? To examine this question we decompose CPI inflation and "core" inflation into their permanent and transitory … to offsetting transitory shocks correlated with the permanent shocks. The stationarity of inflation may be time …-varying, so we examine the performance of the core measure of inflation for periods during which it appears that inflation is I(1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185982
This paper extends the New Keynesian Phillips curve model to include inflation volatility and tests the determinants of … such volatility for India. It provides results on the determinants of inflation volatility and expected inflation … volatility for OLS and ARDL (1,1) models and for change in inflation volatility and change in expected inflation volatility using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010640533
This paper amends the New Keynesian Phillips curve model to include inflation volatility. It provides results on the … determinants of inflation volatility and expected inflation volatility for OLS and ARDL(1,1) models and for change in inflation … volatility and change in expected inflation volatility using ECM models. Output gap affects change in expected inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010640537
A puzzle from the Great Recession is an apparent mismatch between a fall in the persistence of European inflation rates …, and the increased variability of expert forecasts of inflation. We explain this puzzle and show how country specific … beliefs about inflation are still quite close to the European Central Bank target of 2% (what we call official target …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904282
This paper presents a number of responses to Gordon de Brouwer's criticisms of my paper on monetary policy in Indonesia … real depreciation of the rupiah, and rapid growth of base money, which resulted in inflation. Thus all prices rose, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005115699