Beckers, Benjamin; Herwartz, Helmut; Seidel, Moritz - DIW Berlin (Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung) - 2013
The GARCH(1,1) model and its extensions have become a standard econometric tool for modeling volatility dynamics of … financial returns and port-folio risk. In this paper, we propose an adjustment of GARCH implied conditional value-at-risk and …, especially the Frank-GARCH models provide most conservative risk forecasts and out-perform all rival models. …