Showing 1 - 10 of 24
concentrate on modeling the conditional mean. However, financial time series exhibit certain stylized features such as volatility … to address this issue and to gain insights on the volatility patterns of CDS spreads, bond yield spreads and stock prices …. A generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model is applied to the data of four large US banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855329
This paper considers the question of whether changes in persistence have occurred during the long-run evolution of U.S. prices of the non-renewable energy resources crude oil, natural gas and bituminous coal. Our main contribution is to allow for a structural break when testing for a break in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293729
This paper examines the significance of different fundamental regimes by applying various monetary models of the exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008596278
This paper analyses the long-memory properties of high frequency financial time series. It focuses on temporal aggregation and the influence that this might have on the degree of dependence of the series. Fractional integration or I(d) models are estimated with a variety of specifications for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560389
This paper analyses the long-memory properties of a high-frequency financial time series dataset. It focuses on temporal aggregation and other features of the data, and how they might affect the degree of dependence of the series. Fractional integration or I(d) models are estimated with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010896189
A growing literature uses changes in residual volatility for identifying structural shocks in vector autoregressive … in applications in this context. This study reviews the different volatility models and points out their advantages and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011212800
Changes in residual volatility in vector autoregressive (VAR) models can be used for identifying structural shocks in a … structural VAR analysis. Testable conditions are given for full identification for the case where the volatility changes can be … modelled by a multivariate GARCH process. Formal statistical tests are presented for identification and their small sample …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011184636
The GARCH(1,1) model and its extensions have become a standard econometric tool for modeling volatility dynamics of … financial returns and port-folio risk. In this paper, we propose an adjustment of GARCH implied conditional value-at-risk and …, especially the Frank-GARCH models provide most conservative risk forecasts and out-perform all rival models. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010632797
stability of aggregate lending. I find that banking sector integration decreases the aggregate volatility of lending due to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009644901
investigation. Results from event study methodology as well as from conditional volatility models used here do no seem to point to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008694990