Effective macroeconomic and structural policies helped Turkey bounce back quickly and strongly from the global crisis, with annual growth averaging close to 9% over 2010-11. However, the current account deficit widened to around 10% of GDP in 2011 and consumer price inflation rose to over 10%....

Turkey can achieve strong sustainable growth and job creation but further reforms in the labour market, education and product markets are required for such gains to materialise. In recent years, growth has been largely driven by the industrial catch-up of Anatolian regions, although the Marmara...

Turkey recovered swiftly from the global financial crisis but sizeable macroeconomic imbalances arose in the process. High consumer price inflation and a wide current account deficit are sources of vulnerability. Even though below-potential growth helps rebalancing and disinflation, these...

Fiscal imbalances were a main cause for chronic high inflation and macroeconomic instability before the 2000/2001 crisis. Fiscal consolidation is the cornerstone of post-crisis stabilization. It has been quite successful over the past three years as sizeable primary surpluses have been sustained...

The effect of debt on private investment is theoretically undetermined. Indeed, according to the theory, the relation between debt and private investment can either be negative (debt overhang) or positive (accelerator effect on economic growth, hence on private investment). Our study consists in...

Depuis 2003, la Turquie a entrepris de restaurer ses fondamentaux macro-économique en mettant en place, sous la houlette du FMI, un programme de lutte contre l’inflation, tendon d’Achille traditionnel du pays et une politique budgétaire d’austérité, caractérisée par le dégagement de...