Les prestations de services professionnels sont par définition intangibles et génèrent en conséquence une perception de risque et d’incertitude chez le client. Pour y remédier, la confiance a été identifiée comme étant la solution idéale. Or, l’idée dominante est que le...

In this note it is argued that the estimation error in Value-at-Risk predictors gives rise to underestimation of portfolio risk. We propose a simple correction and find in an empirical illustration that it is economically relevant.

In general, the properties of the conditional distribution of multiple period returns do not follow easily from the one-period data generating process. This renders computation of Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall for multiple period returns a non-trivial task. In this paper we consider some...

In the estimation of risk measures such as Value at Risk and Expected shortfall relatively short estimation windows are typically used rendering the estimation error a possibly non-negligible component. In this paper we build upon previous results for the Value at Risk and discuss how the...

This technical note on Mexico’s Financial Sector Assessment Program update presents an overview of the risk management practices and stress test results carried out for the Mexican commercial banks and the insurance sector. The stress test results include the reporting of scenario analyses...

This technical note discusses key findings of the insurance sector stress tests for Switzerland. The results suggest that there are market risks inside some Swiss insurance entities that may need focused attention. In particular, a moderate correction in share and property values, with interest...

A number of member countries have expressed interest in advice regarding disclosure and management of fiscal risks (defined as the possibility of deviations of fiscal outcomes from what was expected at the time of the budget or other forecast). This paper analyzes the main sources of fiscal...

This paper surveys that state of fiscal transparency in the wake of the current crisis and looks at what can be done to improve it. It examines the relationship between fiscal transparency and fiscal outcomes; reviews progress in promoting greater fiscal transparency over the past decade; considers...

This technical note and manual addresses the following main issues: 1. What is operational risk management and how this should be applied to treasury operations. 2. What is business continuity and disaster recovery planning and why it is important for treasury operations? 3. How to develop and...

Australia has a history of few bank failures, even fewer financial crises, and its banking sector emerged from the global financial crisis relatively well.1 With an eye toward international developments, the Australian authorities have taken commendable steps to strengthen the financial safety...