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In this note it is argued that the estimation error in Value-at-Risk predictors gives rise to underestimation of portfolio risk. We propose a simple correction and find in an empirical illustration that it is economically relevant.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005651967
In general, the properties of the conditional distribution of multiple period returns do not follow easily from the one-period data generating process. This renders computation of Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall for multiple period returns a non-trivial task. In this paper we consider some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005198007
In the estimation of risk measures such as Value at Risk and Expected shortfall relatively short estimation windows are typically used rendering the estimation error a possibly non-negligible component. In this paper we build upon previous results for the Value at Risk and discuss how the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010564003
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outweighed by holdup rents extractable by the incumbent lender. Entrepreneurs then choose to finance projects from single or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498882
The impact of news of the Moscow and New York stock market exchanges on the <p> returns and volatilities of the Baltic state stock market indices is studied using daily <p> return data for the period of 2000-2005. A nonlinear time series model that accounts <p> for asymmetries in the conditional mean and...</p></p></p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005424050
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005390118
This paper employs Roback's locational-equilibrium model of public-goods pricing, cross-sectional data from the Census of Population and Housing, and SMSA-level estimates of public capital stocks in order to examine the productive contribution of public capital. I find that public capital has a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005393921
We exploit the distributional information contained in high-frequency intraday data in constructing a simple conditional moment estimator for stochastic volatility diffusions. The estimator is based on the analytical solutions of the first two conditional moments for the latent integrated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005394096